View Single Post
Old 11-15-2004, 03:36 AM   #5 (permalink)
itch vaccine
Psycho
 
itch vaccine's Avatar
 
Location: on my spinning computer chair
first try
you get defective/nondefective/defective

(2/10) (8/9) (1/8) = 1/45

second try
nondefective/defective/defective

(8/10) (2/9) (1/8) = 1/45

probability = 1/45 + 1/45 = 2/45


there couldn't be defective/defective/nondefective because according to you, it must be exactly 3 trials, so why would you want to try again after you get 2 defectives.

however.. if you want to consider defective/defective/nondefective
then it should be
2/45 + (2/10) (1/9) (8/8) = 1/15

Hope this helps.
itch vaccine is offline  
 

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62