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Old 12-22-2003, 09:31 PM   #11 (permalink)
oberon
Quadrature Amplitude Modulator
 
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Location: Denver
Quote:
Originally posted by Cynthetiq
follow Moore's Law and you'll find that ou're not too far off the mark...
It's getting harder and harder for computer engineers to keep up with Moore's Law. But people have predicted the end for many years, so I won't repeat their mistakes. It's also kind of a gunk rule of thumb, since there are different kinds of computers (and nowadays people call clusters supercomputers, because the line is just that fine.. a nice gray area).

However, I find Lasereth's prediction incredibly pessimistic. I'd better get more of a computer than that for $999 in 2005.

I'd rather see faster CPU's than CPU's with higher clock frequencies. In 2005 I bet we will see mainstream CPU's produced with an 50 nanometer material process. That's not too optimistic, I think.
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