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Not many videocards can be "obsolete" in under two years unless they sucked when they were released (GeForce 4 MX series, low-end GeForce FX, etc.). I know there'll be some badass videocards released this year, but the older ones won't under any circumstances be obsolete. If they play the games, and they do, then they can't be considered obsolete. I wouldn't pay $500 for a videocard right now, though. I'd spend $200-$300 and get a Radeon 9800 or GeForce FX 5900.
-Lasereth
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"A Darwinian attacks his theory, seeking to find flaws. An ID believer defends his theory, seeking to conceal flaws." -Roger Ebert
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