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Old 09-07-2004, 05:52 AM   #1 (permalink)
Illusionary
 
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Polling Results:how polls work

Okay....here we go, experiment successful.
The point of this experiment was to define how polling is manipulated.

Media report#1. Republican Poll

President Bush currently holds 68 % approval raitings in the tecoyah polls

Media report#2. Non Partisan Poll

President Bush currently holds 33 % approval ratings in the tecoyah polls

Media report#3. Democratic Poll

President Bush currently holds 7 % approval ratings in the tecoyah polls


As you can see the wording of the questions will create the results of ANY poll. All three of these questions could be used to guage the popularity of the President, and would be reported as a valid result. These results were of no suprise to me, and I hope were at least somewhat enlightening.

Thank you for participating.
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Old 09-07-2004, 10:54 AM   #2 (permalink)
Cherry-pickin' devil's advocate
 
Location: Los Angeles
Which is why poll information without actually giving you information on what questions were asked and how random the sample size was is hard to prove anything...
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Old 09-07-2004, 02:23 PM   #3 (permalink)
Tilted
 
Location: Chicago
Question: "The screaming terrorists are running, screaming, at your home... with bombs. Would you rather have GWB with a gun defending you, or JK with a white handkerchief?"

or

"GWB is a man who has bankrupted several businesses. Will you entrust the economy to him? Or JK?"

polls, polls, polls. Most (in not all) my lit-theory training has been to decry statistical data. Sometimes I think those crazies in the Literature departments have a point.
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Old 09-07-2004, 02:53 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Location: Wish I was on the N17...
There are three types of lies: Lies, damn lies, and statistics.
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Old 09-07-2004, 04:18 PM   #5 (permalink)
Junkie
 
Location: Right here
tecoyah,

your polls were interesting. Without doing a validity check on them, however, they don't indicate anything significant.

How do you know they asked the same question? I mean, that's your point: that they asked the same question, worded differently, which resulted in different responses for the same question.

Most polls and statistical tools utilize multiple questions, asked in various ways, in order to ascertain a particular theme. For example, it's likely that all three of your questions would be on a poll and then the data analyzed to see what people were really answering. Of course, they wouldn't even be used until they had been checked for validity.

The linguistics student does have a point, however, in that studying language can give deeper insight and the way things are worded should be suspect. But I don't know of any university educated people (during which time students must complete some statistical courses) who believe that polls or statistical data are outright nonsense.
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